Friday, November 12, 2021

cancers, radiation, ...

radiation causes cancer
radiation destroyed cancer

  •  atomic radiation, radiation exposure, the cancer bugbear, a million way to die in the west
  •  
  •  why is the nuclear industry so heavily regulated?
  •  
  •  http://www.cbsnews.com/news/is-radiation-to-blame-for-st-louis-county-cancer-cases/
  •  
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Nuclear_Event_Scale
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents_and_incidents
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_Daiichi_nuclear_disaster
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Mile_Island_accident
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SL-1
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mihama_Nuclear_Power_Plant
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayak
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyshtym_disaster
  •  
  •  The Conqueror, atomic testing, cancer
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Conqueror_%28film%29#Cancer_controversy
  • http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/374/did-john-wayne-die-of-cancer-caused-by-a-radioactive-movie-set
     • In 1953, the military had tested 11 atomic bombs at Yucca Flats, Nevada, which resulted in immense clouds of fallout floating downwind. Much of the deadly dust funneled into Snow Canyon, Utah, where a lot of The Conqueror was shot. The actors and crew were exposed to the stuff for 13 weeks, no doubt inhaling a fair amount of it in the process, and Hughes later shipped 60 tons of hot dirt back to Hollywood to use on a set for retakes, thus making things even worse.
     • Many people involved in the production knew about the radiation (there's a picture of Wayne himself operating a Geiger counter during the filming), but no one took the threat seriously at the time. 
     • Thirty years later, however, half the residents of St. George had contracted cancer, and veterans of the production began to realize they were in trouble. 
     • Actor Pedro Armendariz developed cancer of the kidney only four years after the movie was completed, and later shot himself when he learned his condition was terminal.
  •  why is the 
  • http://www.technologyreview.com/news/542411/advanced-nuclear-industry-to-regulators-give-us-a-chance/
   ____________________________________
chemical causes cancer
chemical destroyed cancer

   ____________________________________
virus causes cancer
virus can destroyed cancer (no one was doing this)

   ____________________________________
medicine can be used to heal and even cure disease and sickness
however that is only one side of the coin
the very same medical knowledge can also be used to cause illness and make people sick

food can heal and maintain your health
food can also make you sick and cause your health to degenerate

medicine that cure
medicine that cause you to get sick and die is called poison
   ____________________________________

    Atomic bomb, or A-bomb, was first used in a military operation near the end of 2nd World War.  
    Little boy  ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Boy ) atomic bomb was drop on Hiroshima.  
    Fat Man ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fat_Man ) atomic bomb was dropped on Nagasaki.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_Nagasaki
   
   'Little boy' and 'Fat man' were end-products from Manhattan research and development project ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manhattan_Project ), used to employ a great number of people, to produce components and material that is needed to make the bombs, and to produce atomic bombs, under the offical codename, Development of Substitute Materials, in the United States, and British counter-part, Tube Alloys.  For example, the styrofoam cups and containers came from the development of the atomic bomb.  They needed a lightweight hard material to encase and separate different parts of the bomb.  They came up with the styrofoam.  

Little boy  ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Boy )
Two Fat Man ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fat_Man    )

link trace:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helen_Caldicott

http://www.helencaldicott.com/

http://www.helencaldicott.com/activist-dont-believe-anything-the-nuclear-industry-says/

google, “Don’t believe anything the nuclear industry says, because they lie.”
   ____________________________________

Carroll Quigley, Tragedy and Hope: a history of the world in our time, publication date 1966, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tragedy_and_Hope

   Some people, like General Groves, wanted it to be used to justify the $2 billion they had spent. A large group sided with him because the Democratic leaders in the Congress had authorized these expenditures outside proper congressional procedures and had cooperated in keeping them from almost all members of both houses by concealing them under misleading appropriation headings.
Majority Leader John W. McCormack (later Speaker) once told me, half joking, that if the bomb had not worked he expected to face penal charges. Some Republicans, notably Congressman Albert J. Engel of Michigan, had already shown signs of a desire to use congressional investigations and newspaper publicity to raise questions about misuse of public funds.
During one War Department discussion of this problem, a skilled engineer, Jack Madigan, said:
"If the project succeeds, there won't be any investigation. If it doesn't, they won't investigate anything else."
More over, some air force officers were eager to protect the relative position of their service in the post war demobilization and drastic reduction of the financial appropriations by using a successful A-bomb (Atomic) drop as an argument that Japan had been defeated by air power rather than by naval or ground forces.

   After it was all over, Director of Military Intelligence for the Pacific Theater of War Alfred McCormack, who was probably in as good position as anyone to judging the situation, felt that the Japanese surrender could have been obtained in a few weeks by blockade alone: "The Japanese had no longer enough food in stock, and their fuel reserves were practically exhausted. We had begun a secret process of mining all their harbors. which was steadily isolating them from the rest of the world. If we had brought this operation to its logical conclusion, the destruction of Japan's cities with incendiary and other bombs would have been quite unnecessary. But General Norstad declared at Washington that this blockading action was a cowardly proceeding unworthy of the Air Force. It was therefore discountinued. " 

(Tragedy and Hope, by Carroll Quigley)
   ____________________________________
Joseph Panno, Cancer : the role of genes, lifestyle, and environment, 2005  [ ]

p.41
Lung cancer alone is so prevalent that it has obscured the incidence of all other cancers.  Many people have the impression that the incidence of cancer cases has been increasing over the years, and if all cancers are simply grouped together and plotted against time, this does appear to be the case.  Many believe the increased prevalence of cancer is due to pollution of our environment, the air we breathe, and the food we eat.  Yet if lung cancer is subtracted from the data, we find that the incidence of other major cancers (plotted as deaths per 100,000 people), including colon, breast, and prostate cancer, has not changed since 1930.  ([ why the 1930s; when we started recorded statistical data? ])
([ statistical data and rate of lung cancer in Great Britian & European landmass ])

[in August 1945, the history of the world was altered abruptly. The first atomic bomb hit Hiroshima on 6 August. The second hit Nagasaki on the 9th., source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OSS_Deer_Team] 

   (Cancer : the role of genes, lifestyle, and environment / Joseph Panno.
1. cancer──social aspects., 2. cancer──environmental aspects., 3. cancer──genetic aspects., RC262.P35  2004, 616.99'4071──dc22, 2005, )
   ____________________________________

Charles Perrow, Normal accidents : living with high-risk technologies, 1999 [ ]

p.260
The third was in a navigational satellite sent up in 1964 that failed to achieve orbit when its rocket engine failed. It reentered the atmosphere over the Indian Ocean and distributed 1 kilogram of plutonium-238 about the earth. By 1970 it was estimated that about 95 percent of it had settled on the ground or the earth's waters. The accident was estimated to produce a three-fold increase over the amount of plutonium contamination produced by all atmospheric nuclear weapons testing.5  This received almost no publicity, in contrast to the breakup of a Soviet nuclear-powered satellite in 1978 and another one in 1983.  The first public mention of it may have been in a 1967 item in the journal Science.6 

   ( Normal accidents : living with high-risk technologies / Charles Perrow, 1. industrial accidents., 2. technology--risk assessment., 3. accident., HD7262  P55  1999, 363.1--dc21, 1999,  )
   ____________________________________
  •  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyshtym_disaster
p.xi

    Finally, take the silence of the Soviet Union after the enormous explosion that shook the Ural Mountains, at a nuclear dump site near the city of Kasli, in 1957.  Although the CIA and, presumably, the governments of other Western countries were aware of the explosion, no news of it leaked out until a Soviet scientist, Dr. Zhores Medvedev, emigratred to the West and published a reference to it in a scientific journal.  And even then, heads of atomic energy commissions worldwide scoffed at the news.  If it had not been for the determination of Medvedev to assert his newfound freedom of expression, this catastrophe might well have remained buried under an international mountain range of official denials.

    (Davis, Lee Allyn., Man-made catastrophes : from the burning of Rome to the Lockerbie, 1. Disasters., D24.D38  1991, 904——dc20, copyright © 1993, p.xi)
   ____________________________________
atomic-powered sensor
atomic-powered battery
atomic-powered satellite (space craft)

the insidiousness of uranium mining, extraction, processing, production, atomic product and its development are the radio active material; the man-made radio-active materials present an enduring contamination and pollution, a multi-generational contamination problem, when they are released into the environment ─ toxic, hazardous, poisonous; the radio active substances - either in solid form or dust form  or gasous - has no taste, has no smell, and has no immediate physical feedback to the human touch; yet a prolonged exposure to these radioactive substances ... 
   ____________________________________
West, Nigel.
Games of intelligence: the classified conflict of international espionage / Nigel West.
1. intelligence service.
2. secret service.
3. espionage.
JF1525.I6W47  1990
327.1'2――dc20

copyright © 1989 by Westintel Research Ltd.

pp.50―51
The first cryptonym [PYRAMIDER] referred to a highly secret communications satellite, which enabled the CIA to receive and transmit signals direct to their agents without risk of hostile interception.
The objective was to produce a global, push-button system that would put case officers in Langley in direct contact with their assets, whatever their location, with only minimal field equipment and ground stations.  In theory, PYRAMIDER would allow a spy in the Laotian jungle, or a suburb of Leningrad, to signal the CIA with a piece of kit the size of ... .  It would also operate a sophisticated sensors, planted in strategic positions, to be activated by remote control.29
Contact had to be instantaneous and undetectable, with a less than 1 per cent chance of interception, utilizing the very latest technique of burst transmission, encryption and frequency jumping.

    29 The alleged loss of an atomic-powered remote sensor, placed on Nanda Devi and Monda Kot in the Himalayas close to the Indian frontier to monitor Chinese nuclear tests in Sinkiang in 1964 and 1967, was exploited in hostile propaganda alleging that the device's atomic fuel had contaminated the source of the Ganges.  See 'Fiasco of the sacred river and the spies': The Sunday Times, 16 April 1978.
    30 There is a curious contradiction between the French language edition of DCI William Colby's memoirs Honorable Men (Press de la Renaissance, Paris, 1978) and the Agency-cleared version published in the US (Simon & Schuster, New York, 1978) regarding AZORIAN's success. 
   ____________________________________

 • In theory, PYRAMIDER would allow a spy in the Laotian jungle, or a suburb of Leningrad, to signal the CIA with a piece of kit the size of ... .  It would also operate a sophisticated sensors, planted in strategic positions, to be activated by remote control.29

Sharon Weinberger, The imagineers of war : the untold history of DARPA, the pentagon agency that changed the world, 2017

p.212
Most advances look obvious in hindsight, but it can often take many frustrating years to understand what new technology can do.  When the inventor Nikola Tesla publicly demonstrated remote control in 1898, operating a small boat using radio signals, it caught people's attention, but it did not instantly spark a revolution.  Whether it is trying to make people see how you could use networked computers or getting the military to understand why it might want bombs that can be guided to a specific location, one often needs to make dramatic presentation to convince people, but even that may not be enough. 

  (The imagineers of war : the untold story of DARPA, the Pentagon agency that changed the world / by Sharon Weinberger., New York : Alfred A. Knopf, 2017, united states. defense advanced research projects agency──history. | military research──united states. | military art and science──technological innovations──united states. | science and state──united states. | national security──united states──history. | united states──defenses──history., U394.A75 W45 2016 (print) | U394.A75 (ebook) | 355/.040973, 2017, )
   ____________________________________
Evelyn Fox Keller, A feeling for the organism : the life and work of Barbara McClintock, 1983 

p.65
Stadler's investigation of the mutagenic effects of X rays ── discovered independently by H. J. Muller in 1927 ── greatly excited McClintock's imagination. 
To this day, mutations are the mainstay of genetic research, and in the early days progress was limited by the need to rely on their spontaneous occurrence. 

p.65
By vastly increasing the frequency and variety of mutation, X rays could greatly expedite the probing of genetic structure. 

p.65
  The technique was to irradiate the pollen grains of plants carrying dominant genes of particular traits, and then use the irradiated pollen to fertilize kernels of plants carrying recessive genes for the same traits.  It emerged that the X rays were inducing large-scale changes in the chromosomal arrangement ── changes that would show up in a wide range of visible alterations in the young plant, most dramatically in the coloring and texture of the kernels.  McClintock's challenge that summer was to identify the specific nature of these chromosomal changes.  The same cytological techniques she had earlier developed now enabled her to determine the minute physical changes within the chromosomes that were induced by the X rays.  She found translocation, inversions, and deletions of parts of chromosomes, all resulting from exchanges between normal and damaged chromosomes occurring in the course of meiotic division. 

  (A feeling for the organism : the life and work of Barbara McClintock./ Evelyn Fox Keller., 1. McClintock, Barbara, 1902- ., 2. geneticists──united states──biography., QH439.2.M38K44 1983, 575.1'092'4, 10th anniversary edition, 1983, )
   ____________________________________
radiation causes cancer
radiation destroyed cancer

chemical causes cancer
chemical destroyed cancer

virus causes cancer
virus can destroyed cancer (no one was doing this)

environment causes cancer
environment can destroyed cancer 

microenvironment causes cancer
microenvironment can destroyed cancer 

micro cellular matrix 
micro cellular environment causes cancer
micro cellular environment can destroyed cancer 
micro cellular environment can inhibit cancer 
micro cellular neighborhood 

micro cellular environment (radiation, chemical, virus)
radiation, chemical, virus => micro celluar environment 

Semyon D. Savransky., Engineering of creativity, 2000                       [ ]
p.11
1.5.2     MORPHOLOGICAL BOX

Based on the works of famous mathematician and philosopher Gottfried Wilhelm Leibnitz (1646-1716), in 1942 astronomer Fritz Zwicky [7] proposed morphological analysis. The goal of this method are 

     • to expand search space for a problem's solution and 
     • to safeguard against overlooking novel solutions to a design problem. 

   This method combines parameters into new sequences for later review. The result of this analysis is the so-called morphological box or matrix or table. 
   The best known morphological box is the Chemical Periodic Table (created by Russian chemist D. I. Mendeleev) with the number of electrons at the outer shell along the X-axis and the number of electronic shells along the Y-axis. Atoms with ...  ...[...]...  Such a matrix can be used for forecasting properties; in fact, Mendeleev predicted many elements based on the Periodic Table. 

    ( Savransky, Semyon D., Engineering of creativity : introduction to TRIZ methodology of inventive problem solving / by Semyon D. Savransky., 1. engineering--methodology., 2. problem solving--methodology., 3. creative thinking., 4. technological innovations., 2000, )
   ____________________________________

Mark Stefik and Barbara Stefik, Breakthrough, 2004                          [ ] 

pp.144-145
Mark Stefik

At that time I was a second-year graduate student in computer science. Preparing for my thesis, I was spending a lot of time in Joshua Lederberg's genetics laboratory in the medical school. Researchers in Josh's lab were always conducting experiments where they were digesting DNA, that is, cutting DNA into fragments using enzymes. Jerry Feitelson and I came up with the idea of writing a computer program to infer the DNA structure from the data.
  Researchers in the lab were doing enzyme digests all of the time. Figuring out the segment structure was reasonably difficult, so people might spend hours doing it for each experiment. We thought that a good first project for me would be to automate the reasoning for these problems.
  I started out by interviewing people in the lab about how they solved the problems. There was an underlying set of rules that governed how the DNA molecules were split apart by enzymes.  My program was supposed to look at the digestion data and figure out how the segments were arranged in the original molecule. In any given experiment, a molecule might be digested by more than one enzyme. There were also experimental techniques called “partial digests” where the enzymatic processes were interrupted before they ran to completion. The partial digests gave intermediate-sized segments, which were clues about which pieces were next to each other.
  At first things seemed to go quite easily. I interviewed people, wrote down their rules of reasoning, and programmed them in the computer. The program would re-assemble representations of the segments into representations of larger molecules. But as I explored more data, something began to bother me about the way the program worked. The more data the program had──the more clues it had about the segment structure──the longer it took. This seemed completely wrong to me. A puzzle should get easier when you have more clues. I set up an appointment to ask Lederberg for help.
  I sweated for two weeks. I have tremendous admiration for Josh. In my mind he was high on a pedestal. I did not want to go and ask him a stupid question. Finally, on the afternoon of our meeting an hour before our appointment, I figure it out. I needed to reorganize the program so that it used the enzyme data as contraints or data for pruning rules rather than as clues for assembly. Having Josh tell me this WOULD have been embarrassing since he had pioneered the Dendral algorithms that used this approach for organic chemistry problems.
  There was actually a saving grace to the interview. After staring at these problems for so long I came upon a new kind of experiment for elucidating DNA structure and was eager to tell Josh about it. I thought that it would make it easier to solve more complex structure problems than the ones being done in his laboratory. My idea was to do a partial digest with one enzyme, and then a complete digest in the other direction with another one. I was pretty proud of my idea.
  When I met with Josh and told him my idea, the most amazing thing happened. He scratched his chin for and moment and said “That's interesting.” Then, as I remember it, he went to a whitebord and started listing the variables were could control: one, two, or three enzymes, complete digests versus partial digests, two and conceivably even three dimensional arrangements of the gels, and the order in which the digests were performed. He took my single variation on their experiments and in two or three minutes generated a whole family of additional experimental variations. I was dumfounded.
  Josh showed me a NEW WAY TO THINK about problems. You could call what he did a kind of dimensional analysis. This left a lasting impression on me. Now when I get stuck I look for ways to generate variations. I will always remember that afternoon.

to George Pake, the founder of PARC, who passed away on March 4, 2004.

   (Stefik, Mark., Breakthrough : stories and strategies of radical innovation / Mark Stefik and Barbara Stefik., 1. technological innovation., 2. inventions., 2004, )
   ____________________________________

 • Waste such as piping, scrap cloth, filter cloths, papers, rubber gloves, clothing and the like had be carefully saved in order to recover the small concentrations of uranium, particularly of Uranium-235.  Inventories of the alpha cycle were made every four weeks and of the beta cycle every two.  Constant studies were made to find out where losses occurred., p.107, Leslie R. Groves, Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project, 1983. 


Leslie R. Groves, Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project, 1983 

p.8
  Virtually all laboratory research until this time had been aimed at achieving a controlled chain reaction, using U-235, a rare isotope of uranium which comprises less than one percent of the metal in its natural state.  This isotope has the property of fissioning readily ── a property which the far more abundant form of uranium, U-238, does not display. But it soon became apparent that unless unprecedented quantities of this material could be produced in a much purer state, U-235 chain reaction would be impossible.  The basic problem was to arrive at an industrial process that would produce kilograms of a substance that had never been isolated before in greater than submicroscopic quantities.  The processes then being considered were all designed to take advantage of the very minor physical difference between U-235 and U-238 

p.9
  In the meantime, other laboratories in colleges, universities and a few industrial plants were trying to find some method of physically separating U-235 from U-238 that would be practical from the standpoints of both economy and time. 

p.9
The purpose of the research was to develop the knowledge needed to design, build and operate a plant for the conversion of uranium into plutonium.5 

  5  Metallurgical Laboratory was a code name chosen to conceal the nature of the work being done there. 

p.10
In his report to Bush, he expressed the prevailing opinion that there were five basic production methods, each of which held out equal chances of success.  U-235 could be separated by means of the centrifuge, diffusion and electromagenetic processes; while plutonium could be obtained from either the uranium-graphite pile or the uranium-heavy-water pile.  All these processes appeared to be nearly ready for pilot plant construction and possibly for the preliminary design of production plants. 

p.10
No longer would it be conducted in the laboratory on a purely theoretical basis, for our scientists had now accumulated sufficient theoretical knowledge to permit the preliminary engineering of possible production processes. 

p.107
Waste such as piping, scrap cloth, filter cloths, papers, rubber gloves, clothing and the like had be carefully saved in order to recover the small concentrations of uranium, particularly of Uranium-235.  Inventories of the alpha cycle were made every four weeks and of the beta cycle every two.  Constant studies were made to find out where losses occurred. 

p.111
gaseous diffusion process, later termed the K-25 project, 
a large scale multistage process for the separation of U-235 from U-238

p.111
The method was completely novel.  It was based on the theory that if uranium gas was pumped against a porous barrier, the lighter molecules of the gas, containing U-235, would pass through more rapidly than the heavier U-238 molecules.  

p.111
The heart of the process was, therefore, the barrier, a porous thin metal sheet or membrane with millions of submicroscopic openings per square inch.  These sheets were formed into tubes which were enclosed in an airtight vessel, the diffuser.  

p.111
As the gas, uranium hexafluoride, was pumped through a long series, or cascade, of these tubes it tended to separate, the enriched gas moving up the cascade while the depleted moved down.  However, there is so little difference in mass between the hexafluorides of U-238 and U-235 that it was impossible to gain much separation in a single diffusion step.  This was why there had to be several thousand successive stages. 

p.111
  The basic scientific research on gaseous diffusion process was done by Columbia University's SAM 6 Laboratory in New York City under the leadership of Dr. Harold C. Urey, with Dr. John R. Dunning as chief physicist.  

  6  Code name originally based on Substitute (or Special) Alloy Materials. 

p.111
M. W. Kellogg Company for the extensive research and development, design, procurement and related services necessary to build a plant to produce U-235 of the purity and the quantity found needed for atomic bomb production.  For operational reasons, as well as for security, Kellogg set up a wholly owned subsidiary, Kellex, to handle this project.  

   (Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project / Leslie R. Groves, 1. united states. army. corps of engineers. manhattan district ─ history., 2. atomic bomb ─ united states ─ history., Reprint.  Originally published:  New York:  Harper, 1962., QC773.A1G7  1983, 623.4'5119'0973, 623.4511  GROVES, 1962, 1983, )  
   ____________________________________

 • Out of all this came several extremely important technological breakthroughs.  Until this time it had never been thought that extractable amounts of uranium would be found in any hydrocarbon-bearing material, such as petroleum or coal.  From his pattern studies, Bain concluded that they should be; and was proved to be right., p.182, Leslie R. Groves, Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project, 1983.  


Leslie R. Groves, Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project, 1983 

p.178
  Union Minière was not our only supplier of ore.  Prior to the formation of the MED all ores had been obtained from the Eldorado Mining Company, which had a uranium mine at Great Bear Lake, not far from the Arctic Circle.  Eldorado also operated a refinery at Port Hope on Lake Ontario, where uranium oxide, as well as radium, was extracted from uranium ore, and through which we eventually funneled all the Belgian Congo ore. 

p.179
  A systematic search of the Colorado Plateau disclosed uranium-bearing wastes in the dumps at the Vanadium Corporation of America.  Contracts were let for the uranium content of these dumps, which was of considerable quantity, and for its extraction. 

p.179
He also checked to determine whether there were not some tailing dumps that contained a substantial amount of ore; that there might be seemed most probable in the light of the richness of the ores we had previously received.  Merritt's inquiry was successful and as a result we had immediately available another large amount of ore.  It was not so rich as that which we had previously obtained from the Congo, but the Congo's poorest was much better than the best from Canada or the Colorado Plateau.  These dumps had been built up during the years as a result of hand-sorting the richer ores.  Their uranium content varied widely from 3 per cent to 20 per cent. 

pp.179-180

p.180
  To collect the necessary knowledge we decided to use the services of some existing organization rather than attempt to organize an agency of our own for the work.  We also decided that we should us a private organization rather than one within the government.  The principal reason for this was the need for security, since extensive field investigations by a government agency would be apt to attract too much attention. 
  Union Carbide and Carbon agreed to undertake the assignment. 

p.182
  Out of all this came several extremely important technological breakthroughs.  Until this time it had never been thought that extractable amounts of uranium would be found in any hydrocarbon-bearing material, such as petroleum or coal.  From his pattern studies, Bain concluded that they should be; and was proved to be right. 
 p.182
  He had a remarkably thorough knowledge of geological formations throughout the world and recalled that, in the course of a trip he had made in 1941, he had found uranium in amounts that might be of interest to us in the gold mines of the Rand, in South Africa.  A further investigation confirmed the presence of uranium, but not of suffcient richness for our needs.  These findings were at considerable variance with Bain's estimate of what they should have shown. 
 p.182
  After reviewing the entire situation with Guarin, Bain went home to Amherst from New York on Sunday.  While he was there, he took from his private collection a sample of the Rand gold-bearing rock, placed it on a photographic plate, and was delighted to find from the exposure very definite proof that the ore did emit beta rays of an intensity that indicated uranium content far beyond anything that had previously been suspected. 
 p.182
  This made us feel certain that we had uncovered great possibilities.  But we had a great deal of trouble convincing others, who insisted that it was impossible that uranium could have been overlooked in the Rand ore for so many years.  I discussed the matter with Sir Charles Hambro and Sir James Chadwick and they agreed with me that we could pursue our investigation of the Rand vigorously.  
 p.182
  A new assay confirmed Bain's opinion of the ore's richness, and proved that the Rand was probably a major potential source of uranium.  It also led directly to the adoption of Bain's views that all placer deposits should be carefully considered; thus many other areas throughout the world  came be regarded as possible sources of uranium. 

p.183
  The economic effect of these discoveries on the Union of South Africa has been tremendous.  In 1959, well over $150 million worth of uranium was exported.  It has made possible the working of many gold mines which, without this valuable by-product, would not have been able to operate.  It is difficult to estimate how much of the $700 million worth of gold produced during that same year would have been reduced, but it would have been by a substantial amount if uranium had not been recovered from what previously had been discarded as waste. 

   (Now it can be told : the story of the manhattan project / Leslie R. Groves, 1. united states. army. corps of engineers. manhattan district ─ history., 2. atomic bomb ─ united states ─ history., Reprint.  Originally published:  New York:  Harper, 1962., QC773.A1G7  1983, 623.4'5119'0973, 623.4511  GROVES, 1962, 1983, )  
   ____________________________________

 • Pournelle's iron law of bureaucracy: "In any bureaucracy, the people devoted to the benefit of the bureaucracy itself always get in control and those dedicated to the goals the bureaucracy is supposed to accomplish have less and less influence, and sometimes are eliminated entirely."

Joseph E. Stiglitz, Globalization and its discontents revisited, 2018, 2002 

p.267
A U.S. government enterprise called the United States Enrichment Corporation (USEC) would buy Russian uranium from deactivated nuclear warheads and bring it to the United States. 

p.268
Worse still, we at the Council of Economic Advisers had analyzed that it had every incentive to keep the Russian uranium out of the United States.
p.268
USEC adamantly denied that it would ever act counter to broader U.S. interests, and affirmed that it would always bring in Russian uranium as fast as the Russians were willing to sell; but the very week that it made these protestations, I got told of a secret agreement between USEC and the Russian agency.  The Russian had offered to triple their their deliveries, and USEC had not only turned them down but paid a handsome amount in what could only be termed “hush money” to keep the offer (and USEC's refusal) secret. 

Joseph E. Stiglitz, Globalization and its discontents revisited, 2018, 2002 
   ____________________________________
The Three Tradesmen

A GREAT CITY was besieged, and its inhabitants were called together to
consider the best means of protecting it from the enemy. A Bricklayer
earnestly recommended bricks as affording the best material for an
effective resistance. A Carpenter, with equal enthusiasm, proposed
timber as a preferable method of defense. Upon which a Currier stood up
and said, “Sirs, I differ from you altogether: there is no material
for resistance equal to a covering of hides; and nothing so good as
leather.”

Every man for himself.

source:
AESOP’S FABLES
By Aesop
Translated by George Fyler Townsend

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The Project Gutenberg EBook of Aesop’s Fables, by Aesop

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Title: Aesop’s Fables
Author: Aesop
Translator: George Fyler Townsend
Posting Date: June 25, 2008 [EBook #21]
Release Date: September 30, 1991
Last Updated: October 28, 2016
Language: English
Character set encoding: UTF-8
   ____________________________________

 • Respect even small amounts of radiation.
   • Rickover management objectives 
   • Quotations of Rickover from The Rickover Effect (1992) by Theodore Rockwell, ISBN 1-55750-702-3

 • I'll be philosophical. Until about two billion years ago, it was impossible to have any life on earth; that is, there was so much radiation on earth you couldn't have any life — fish or anything. Gradually, about two billion years ago, the amount of radiation on this planet—and probably in the entire system—reduced and made it possible for some form of life to begin... Now when we go back to using nuclear power, we are creating something which nature tried to destroy to make life possible... Every time you produce radiation, you produce something that has a certain half-life, in some cases for billions of years. I think the human race is going to wreck itself, and it is important that we get control of this horrible force and try to eliminate it... I do not believe that nuclear power is worth it if it creates radiation. Then you might ask me why do I have nuclear powered ships. That is a necessary evil. I would sink them all. Have I given you an answer to your question?
   • On the hazards of nuclear power. Testimony to Congress (28 January 1982); published in Economics of Defense Policy: Hearing before the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, 97th Cong., 2nd sess., Pt. 1 (1982)
   • Hyman G. Rickover wikiquote 

 • Fish don't vote.
   • Statement on why submarine names changed from fish to cities, as quoted in "BRIEFING; Navy Reverts to Fish" by James F. Clarity and Warren Weaver Jr., The New York Times (22 April 1985)
   • Hyman G. Rickover wikiquote 
   ____________________________________

Ben Bova, New Earth, 2013

pp.211-212
p.211
   Longyear's lean face was entirely serious.  “I've been thinking about this planet's ozone 
   Jordan felt surprised.
   “It's much thicker than Earth's”, Longyear said.
   “Well, it has to be, doesn't it? Sirius emits much more ultraviolet radiation than our Sun does. The ozone layer screens out the UV, protects life on the planet's surface.”
   “Exactly right”, said Meek.
   Longyear leaned closer and asked, “But how did the ozone get there, in the first place?”
   Jordan blinked at him. “As I understand it, the ultraviolet light coming in creates a reaction that turns some of the oxygen molecules high in atmosphere into ozone:  oxygen-three, isn't it, where regular oxygen is a two-atom molecule.”
   “Right”, said Longyear. “But how did the oxygen get into the atmosphere?”
   Feeling as if he were taking a high school science exam, Jordan answered, “From living plants that give off oxygen as a result of photosynthesis.”
   “Aha!” Meek pounced. “And how could plant life arise in the face of heavy ultraviolet radiation reaching the planet's surface?”
   Jordan was puzzled by that. “Why ... how did photosynthetic plants arise on Earth? In the oceans, wasn't it? Single-celled bacteria in the water.”
   “That's what happened on Earth, true enough”, said Longyear. “The so-called blue-green algae──”
   “Cyanobacteria, actually”, Meek interrupted.
   A frown flashed across Longyear's face as he continued, “Those single-celled creatures lived deep enough in the water so that the Sun's UV didn't reach them.”
   “The water protected them”, Jordan said. 
   “Right. And over many eons, they pumped enough oxygen into Earth's atmosphere to allow an ozone layer to build up. The ozone layer protected the planet's surface from killing levels of ultraviolet and life could eventually evolve on land.”
p.212
   Jordan spread his hands. “So the same thing has happened here, obviously.”
   “Not so obvious, Jordan”, Longyear contradicted.  Ticking off points on his stubby fingers, biologist said, “One, Sirius puts out so much UV that it's tough to see how life could have arisen n the first place.”
   “Really? Even in the oceans?”
   Raising a second finger, Longyear went on, “Which brings us to point number two : time.  It took billions of years for life to evolve in the oceans of Earth.  Billions of years for those cyanobacteria to generate enough oxygen to change the atmosphere and form an ozone layer.”
   “This planet can't be that old”, Meek said. “Sirius itself can't be more than half a billion years old, from what Elyse Rudaki's told me.”
   “That's not enough time for a thick ozone layer to be built up”, Longyear resumed.
   “So how did it get there?” Meek demanded.
   “How did life evolve on the ground without an ozone layer to protect it from lethal levels of US?” Longyear added.
   Jordan looked at them:  Longyear earnest, serious, troubled; Meek burning with righteous indignation.
   “Life couldn't get started on the ground without a strong UV shield, a thick ozone layer high in the atmosphere”, Longyear repeated. “But the ozone layer couldn't get created until life spent billions of years producing oxygen.”

p.212
   “I've run the numbers through the computer. Considering the level of ultraviolet that Sirius emits, and the time scale involved, there's no way that such a thick ozone layer could have been built up.”

p.213     geomagnetic field 
   “That's because there's no planetary magnetic field, as on Earth”, said Jordan. 
   “Uh-huh. And how did Adri's people evolve to the level of high technology without a geomagnetic field to protect them?”
--

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Monday, July 12, 2021

Race of our lives (Jeremy Grantham)

 13:52
GMO race of our lives Jeremy Grantham
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NFWS26xRs6s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NFWS26xRs6s
GMO LLC
Feb 13, 2019
 
Australia, Canada, UK, US are on notice for being captured by oil & gas industries.
 

Thursday, June 3, 2021

Droughts 2.006

 
2006       Syria is hit by the worst drought in 500 years.

2006       Australia
            drought - one of the major abiotic stresses
            on plants growth - in Australia
            affecting wheat yield

2006-7     drought in the greater Fertile Crescent—
            present-day
            Iraq, southeastern Turkey, western Iran,
            Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Palestine, and
            parts of Egypt—was the longest and
            most severe drought ever recorded.

2007       Brent Eng and José Ciro Martinez note that until
            2007, Syria’s self-sufficiency in food
            production, specifically wheat, was a cause
            célèbre in the wider region.  

2010       Russia
            summer of 2010,  a wheat crisis due to severe weather
            conditions in Russia. The world's third largest producers
            of wheat saw a severe drought and wildfires that
            destroyed one-fifth of its wheat production.
            The drought, which was said to be the worst
            in 130 years, led to a 30 percent decrease in the
             wheat Russia could export. The weather conditions
             also affected harvests in neighboring wheat producing
             countries such as; Ukraine and Kazakhstan.[1]

2010–2011  China drought was a drought that began in late 2010 and
            impacted eight provinces in the northern part of the
            People's Republic of China (PRC).
           it affected most of wheat-producing regions in the PRC.
 
  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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1928-1930 drought in China "the most disastrous event in the 20th century in               China."  The drought led to a widespread famine and malnutrition,
        claiming the lives of anywhere between half million to 10 million
        people.
     1934 was the driest and most widespread of the last millennium.
     1934 Had Worst Drought in North American drought history
           over the last 1,000 years
 ([ in 13 years (2021 + 13) = 2034, it will be 100 years from 1934 ])
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The 2010–2011 China drought was a drought that began in late 2010 and impacted eight provinces in the northern part of the People's Republic of China (PRC). It was the worst drought to hit the country in 60 years, and it affected most of wheat-producing regions in the PRC.

source:
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010–11_China_drought

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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 https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/molecule-that-made-us/episodes/episode-3-crisis/

Earth’s changing water cycle, and water for profit, are forcing changes across the globe.

     ••••   •••   •••• 

Water scientist, Jay Famiglietti

This story begins in Syria in 2006, when they were hit by the worst drought in 500 years. Farmers began to overdraw water from their aquifer. With GRACE, Jay could see it as it was happening. We saw the Syria hotspot and we saw that ground water depletion way ahead of time. And we did try to communicate that to the Pentagon, err State Department ummm… and its, you know it’s tough, it’s tough to get attention.

You know, who are you? You’re some Professor that walks in with a research paper err and a colorful map erm and it’s hard to really convey what’s, what’s happening. But, you know, we made our efforts repeatedly.

     ••••   •••   ••••

One way might be to look at it as a series of dominos. It was a set of dominos that collapsed over a ten-year period. And it started when Australia faced a drought described as: “a 1000-year event”.“Australia is dying of thirst.” “And where there used to be water, there is only dry, cracked earth.” During the winter, countries in the Northern hemisphere depend on the Southern hemisphere for wheat. And the drought threatened Australia’s ability to supply this winter-wheat to the rest of the world. Then, the next domino fell. In 2010, when mainland China suffered its own drought. “The drought ravaging China is being called the worst in a century.” Wheat is a global commodity traded on the international market, so liable to market forces. So, if China needs more wheat, my thinking was: Does this have another impact somewhere else in the world? Troy followed the trail to the Middle East where farmers were suffering from their own drought. And with the wheat issues in Australia and China, it affected food prices in Syria and Egypt. So, as Egypt needs more wheat and China needs more wheat there is less wheat available. Then in 2010 another domino fell. Russia, the largest exporter of wheat to the Middle East, was gripped by a devastating heat wave. Due to abnormally high temperatures and drought, I believe it is reasonable to introduce a temporary ban on grain and wheat products export. With wheat exports from Russia reduced by 80% - world prices skyrocket. It’s Christmas for the speculators as prices drive upwards....Wheat by a whopping 130% There’s a limited supply, great demand… Speculators on the commodities market saw an opportunity – they bought and held onto the wheat… while prices rose.

     ••••   •••   ••••

source:
        https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/molecule-that-made-us/episodes/episode-3-crisis/
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     In 1964, the National Academy of Sciences issued a study that recognized the possibility of “inadvertent weather modification” caused by the burning of fossil fuels.

     In 1965, President Lyndon Johnson’s Science Advisory Committee warned him that by the year 2000, there would be 25 percent more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. In the words of the Committee, the continued use of fossil fuels “will modify the heat balance of the atmosphere to such an extent that marked changes in climate, not controllable through local or even national efforts, could occur.”

     Later that year, President Johnson issued a special message to Congress. “This generation has altered the composition of the atmosphere on a global scale,” he said, “through a steady increase in carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels.”

     In the 1970s, the National Research Council issued two additional reports on global climate change. And in 1978, the director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Dr. Robert White, wrote that “industrial wastes, such as carbon dioxide released during the burning of fossil fuels, can have consequences for climate that pose a considerable threat to future societies.” Dr. White warned the economic and social impacts could be “ominous”.

     By 1979, our most respected scientists had become even more certain about this threat. The National Research Council at the National Academy of Sciences issued this conclusion: “The close linkage between man’s welfare and the climate regime within which his society has evolved suggests that such climatic changes would have a profound impact on human society.”

     http://www.stopglobalwarming.org/news/floods-fires-and-another-teachable-moment/

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/05/5-droughts-that-changed-human-history/


5 droughts that changed human history
Douglas Broom Senior Writer, Formative Content

Reports of severe droughts are rarely out of the headlines as our world warms up. North Korea has said it's suffering the worst drought in 37 years, while the last five months have been the driest in the history of the Panama Canal, according to authorities.

A recent study says human activity could have exacerbated a century of such droughts.

NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) compared historical precipitation and tree ring data between 1900 and 2005, finding that a "human fingerprint" - through human-manufactured greenhouse gasses - has had a significant impact on global drought risk.

The report argues this human impact is set to grow, potentially leading to "severe" consequences for humanity - including more frequent and severe droughts, food and water shortages, destructive wildfires and conflicts between people competing for resources.

It’s a sobering scenario that, if realized, would lengthen an already extensive list of droughts that have affected the trajectory of human history for thousands of years. Here are five of those droughts and how they are thought to have changed the world.
Number of deaths caused by major droughts worldwide from 1900 to 2016

Number of deaths caused by major droughts worldwide from 1900 to 2016

Image: Statista


1. The drought that prompted the spread of humanity

 ►  https://www.pnas.org/content/104/42/16416

DNA research suggests a series of megadroughts between 135,000 and 75,000 years ago may have been responsible for the first migrations of early humans out of Africa.

Scientists say that variable climate conditions made the land in parts of Africa frequently inhospitable for human habitation. Droughts may have limited access to fundamental resources, forcing inhabitants to migrate outside the continent to find sustenance.


2. The drought that changed ancient Egypt

 ►  https://www.academia.edu/212026/Beetles_and_the_decline_of_the_Old_Kingdom_Climate_change_in_ancient_Egypt

Archaeologists investigating the royal tombs of Egypt's Old Kingdom found evidence of a drought that hit the Middle East and parts of Europe 4,500 years ago.

Some experts say it was that drought, rather than civil strife, that caused the fall of the pharaohs, who ruled Ancient Egypt for 3,000 years before the region became a province of the Roman Empire in 30BC.


3. The drought that destroyed the Mayans

The Mayan empire in Mesoamerica was hit by drought at the most vulnerable moment in its history.

 ►  https://science.sciencemag.org/content/361/6401/498

Rapid population growth coincided with a halving of annual rainfall 1,200 years ago, causing crops to fail and a war with neighbouring nations over dwindling water resources to ultimately precipitate the demise of the Mayan civilization.


4. The drought that spread deadly diseases

The Dust Bowl in the Great Plains of the US Midwest and Canada in the mid-1930s drove two million people off the land and led to an outbreak of diseases.

 ►  https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1996313/pdf/pubhealthreporig01958-0004.pdf

At the time it was not realized that the dust transmitted measles, influenza and a fungal lung disease called Valley Fever. For people already weakened by malnutrition, these diseases often proved fatal.


5. China's 'Most Disastrous' Drought

While China has weathered numerous severe droughts throughout its history, perhaps none was as consequential as the 1928-1930 drought, which some experts have called "the most disastrous event in the 20th century in China." The drought led to a widespread famine, claiming the lives of anywhere between three million and 10 million people.

 ►  https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674927810500212

More recently, in mid-2017, Chinese authorities said a large northern region had experienced the worst drought on record, citing climate change as the culprit for extreme weather patterns throughout parts of the country.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and not the World Economic Forum.


source:
        https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/05/5-droughts-that-changed-human-history/

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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nasa.gov
NASA Study Finds 1934 Had Worst Drought of Last Thousand Years

A new study using a reconstruction of North American drought history over the last 1,000 years found that the drought of 1934 was the driest and most widespread of the last millennium.

Using a tree-ring-based drought record from the years 1000 to 2005 and modern records, scientists from NASA and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory found the 1934 drought was 30 percent more severe than the runner-up drought (in 1580) and extended across 71.6 percent of western North America. For comparison, the average extent of the 2012 drought was 59.7 percent.

     ••••   •••   ••••

“We want to understand droughts of the past to understand to what extent climate change might make it more or less likely that those events occur in the future," Cook said.

The abnormal high-pressure system is one lesson from the past that informs scientists' understanding of the current severe drought in California and the western United States.

"What you saw during this last winter and during 1934, because of this high pressure in the atmosphere, is that all the wintertime storms that would normally come into places like California instead got steered much, much farther north,” Cook said. “It's these wintertime storms that provide most of the moisture in California. So without getting that rainfall it led to a pretty severe drought."

This type of high-pressure system is part of normal variation in the atmosphere, and whether or not it will appear in a given year is difficult to predict in computer models of the climate. Models are more attuned to droughts caused by La Niña's colder sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, which likely triggered the multi-year Dust Bowl drought throughout the 1930s. In a normal La Niña year, the Pacific Northwest receives more rain than usual and the southwestern states typically dry out.

But a comparison of weather data to models looking at La Niña effects showed that the rain-blocking high-pressure system in the winter of 1933-34 overrode the effects of La Niña for the western states. This dried out areas from northern California to the Rockies that otherwise might have been wetter.

As winter ended, the high-pressure system shifted eastward, interfering with spring and summer rains that typically fall on the central plains. The dry conditions were exacerbated and spread even farther east by dust storms.

"We found that a lot of the drying that occurred in the spring time occurred downwind from where the dust storms originated," Cook said, "suggesting that it's actually the dust in the atmosphere that's driving at least some of the drying in the spring and really allowing this drought event to spread upwards into the central plains."

     ••••   •••   ••••

source:
        https://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/1934-had-worst-drought-of-last-thousand-years/


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nasa.gov
NASA Study Finds 1934 Had Worst Drought of Last Thousand Years


https://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/1934-had-worst-drought-of-last-thousand-years/


A new study using a reconstruction of North American drought history over the last 1,000 years found that the drought of 1934 was the driest and most widespread of the last millennium.

Using a tree-ring-based drought record from the years 1000 to 2005 and modern records, scientists from NASA and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory found the 1934 drought was 30 percent more severe than the runner-up drought (in 1580) and extended across 71.6 percent of western North America. For comparison, the average extent of the 2012 drought was 59.7 percent.

This photo shows a farmer and his two sons during a dust storm in Cimarron County, Oklahoma, 1936. The 1930s Dust Bowl drought had four drought events with no time to recover in between: 1930-31, 1934, 1936 and 1939-40.

Image Credit:

Arthur Rothstein, Farm Security Administration

"It was the worst by a large margin, falling pretty far outside the normal range of variability that we see in the record," said climate scientist Ben Cook at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York. Cook is lead author of the study, which will publish in the Oct. 17 edition of Geophysical Research Letters.

Two sets of conditions led to the severity and extent of the 1934 drought. First, a high-pressure system in winter sat over the west coast of the United States and turned away wet weather – a pattern similar to that which occurred in the winter of 2013-14. Second, the spring of 1934 saw dust storms, caused by poor land management practices, suppress rainfall.

Five new NASA Earth science missions are launching in 2014 to expand our understanding of Earth’s changing climate and environment.

"In combination then, these two different phenomena managed to bring almost the entire nation into a drought at that time," said co-author Richard Seager, professor at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University in New York. "The fact that it was the worst of the millennium was probably in part because of the human role."

Brown colors of the Palmer Drought Severity Index, or PDSI, indicate strong drought conditions across the United States in the summer of 1934. PDSI was calculated from monthly averages of precipitation, temperature and other factors from 1934, available from the Climate Research Unit.

According to the recent Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, climate change is likely to make droughts in North America worse, and the southwest in particular is expected to become significantly drier as are summers in the central plains. Looking back one thousand years in time is one way to get a handle on the natural variability of droughts so that scientists can tease out anthropogenic effects – such as the dust storms of 1934.

“We want to understand droughts of the past to understand to what extent climate change might make it more or less likely that those events occur in the future," Cook said.

The abnormal high-pressure system is one lesson from the past that informs scientists' understanding of the current severe drought in California and the western United States.

"What you saw during this last winter and during 1934, because of this high pressure in the atmosphere, is that all the wintertime storms that would normally come into places like California instead got steered much, much farther north,” Cook said. “It's these wintertime storms that provide most of the moisture in California. So without getting that rainfall it led to a pretty severe drought."

This type of high-pressure system is part of normal variation in the atmosphere, and whether or not it will appear in a given year is difficult to predict in computer models of the climate. Models are more attuned to droughts caused by La Niña's colder sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, which likely triggered the multi-year Dust Bowl drought throughout the 1930s. In a normal La Niña year, the Pacific Northwest receives more rain than usual and the southwestern states typically dry out.

But a comparison of weather data to models looking at La Niña effects showed that the rain-blocking high-pressure system in the winter of 1933-34 overrode the effects of La Niña for the western states. This dried out areas from northern California to the Rockies that otherwise might have been wetter.

As winter ended, the high-pressure system shifted eastward, interfering with spring and summer rains that typically fall on the central plains. The dry conditions were exacerbated and spread even farther east by dust storms.

"We found that a lot of the drying that occurred in the spring time occurred downwind from where the dust storms originated," Cook said, "suggesting that it's actually the dust in the atmosphere that's driving at least some of the drying in the spring and really allowing this drought event to spread upwards into the central plains."

A "black blizzard" dust storm in South Dakota, 1934.

Image Credit:

National Archives FDR Library Public Domain Photographs

Dust clouds reflect sunlight and block solar energy from reaching the surface. That prevents evaporation that would otherwise help form rain clouds, meaning that the presence of the dust clouds themselves leads to less rain, Cook said.

"Previous work and this work offers some evidence that you need this dust feedback to explain the real anomalous nature of the Dust Bowl drought in 1934," Cook said.

Dust storms like the ones in the 1930s aren't a problem in North America today. The agricultural practices that gave rise to the Dust Bowl were replaced by those that minimize erosion. Still, agricultural producers need to pay attention to the changing climate and adapt accordingly, not forgetting the lessons of the past, said Seager. "The risk of severe mid-continental droughts is expected to go up over time, not down," he said.


source:
        https://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/1934-had-worst-drought-of-last-thousand-years/


  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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water triage:

soil moisture => poor planting conditions

poor planting conditions <= no irrigation (underground water is being used for other uses)

to access ((underground water)) you need to either digg a very deep hole, or you need a drilling rigg to make a very deep hole, then you need a water pump with a very long tube with a filter, and you need a way to power the water pump (like ...), and while you are digging or drilling the hole, you are gonna need a way to make sure the surface surrounding the hole does not break down to fill up the hole you are digging or drilling, and you need a method to bring up the ground water to the irrigation pond; keeping in mind that you are not the only one doing this, everyone else is in the same boat, so they are also going to want the water for their irrigation pond for their use, like to make beer, to wash their car, to take a bath, to wash the dishes, to flush the toilet, to cook food, to make IC chips, to make potatoes chip, to fill their swimming pool, to water their lawn, to put out the house fire of that rich guy down the street (we do not put out fire for poor people house, unless the property is owned by the rich landlord), to wash their hands and feet, to brush their teeth, ..., etc. ... 

major droughts + higher temperatures => soil moisture deficits

soil moisture deficits =>  ... => one of the major abiotic plants stresses

plants stress => plants growth => crop yields => FUBAR logistics => hunger game

crop yields => future contracts commodities speculators => hunger game

crop yields => PANIC => hoarding => hunger game

low crop yields => centralized food distribution => hoarding => hunger game

China: crop yields => misguided centralized policy => not enough to eat in the countryside

crop yields => ... => hunger game

The human effect on recent major U.S. droughts is complicated. Little evidence is found for a human influence on observed precipitation deficits, but much evidence is found for a human influence on surface soil moisture deficits due to increased evapotranspiration caused by higher temperatures. (High confidence)

source:
        https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/8/

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Hunger game is a highly likely scenario in the next 1,000 years

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https://climateandsecurity.org/2012/02/syria-climate-change-drought-and-social-unrest/

 Climate Change, Drought and Social Unrest

     ••••   •••   ••••

This article was also posted on AlertNet
 ►  http://www.trust.org/alertnet/blogs/climate-conversations/climate-change-drought-and-social-unrest-in-syria/

by Francesco Femia and Caitlin Werrell

     ••••   •••   ••••

Water shortages, crop-failure and displacement

From 2006-2011, up to 60% of Syria’s land experienced, in the terms of one expert, “the worst long-term drought and most severe set of crop failures since agricultural civilizations began in the Fertile Crescent many millennia ago.”  According to a special case study from last year’s Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction (GAR), of the most vulnerable Syrians dependent on agriculture, particularly in the northeast governorate of Hassakeh (but also in the south), “nearly 75 percent…suffered total crop failure.” Herders in the northeast lost around 85% of their livestock, affecting 1.3 million people.

 ►  http://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/bgdocs/Erian_Katlan_&_Babah_2010.pdf

 ►  http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/14/world/middleeast/14syria.html

The human and economic costs are enormous.  In 2009, the UN and IFRC reported that over 800,000 Syrians had lost their entire livelihood as a result of the droughts. By 2011, the aforementioned GAR report estimated that the number of Syrians who were left extremely “food insecure” by the droughts sat at about one million. The number of people driven into extreme poverty is even worse, with a UN report from last year estimating two to three million people affected.

 ►  http://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/bgdocs/Erian_Katlan_&_Babah_2010.pdf

This has led to a massive exodus of farmers, herders and agriculturally-dependent rural families from the countryside to the cities. Last January, it was reported that crop failures (particularly the Halaby pepper) just in the farming villages around the city of Aleppo, had led “200,000 rural villagers to leave for the cities.” In October 2010, the New York Times highlighted a UN estimate that 50,000 families migrated from rural areas just that year, “on top of the hundreds of thousands of people who fled in earlier years.” In context of Syrian cities coping with influxes of Iraqi refugees since the U.S. invasion in 2003, this has placed additional strains and tensions on an already stressed and disenfranchised population.


Climate change, natural resource mis-management, and demographics

The reasons for the collapse of Syria’s farmland are a complex interplay of variables, including climate change, natural resource mis-management, and demographic dynamics.

A NOAA study published last October in the Journal of Climate found strong and observable evidence that the recent prolonged period of drought in the Mediterranean littoral and the Middle East is linked to climate change. On top of this, the study also found worrying agreement between observed climate impacts, and future projections from climate models. A recent model of climate change impacts on Syria conducted by IFPRI, for example, projects that if current rates of global greenhouse gas emissions continue, yields of rainfed crops in the country may decline “between 29 and 57 percent from 2010 to 2050.”

 ►  http://www.ifpri.org/sites/default/files/publications/ifpridp01091.pdf

     ••••   •••   ••••

source:
        https://climateandsecurity.org/2012/02/syria-climate-change-drought-and-social-unrest/

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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https://daily.jstor.org/climate-change-and-syrias-civil-war/

The 2006-7 drought in the greater Fertile Crescent—present-day Iraq, southeastern Turkey, western Iran, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Palestine, and parts of Egypt—was the longest and most severe drought ever recorded. Climate scientists Colin P. Kelley et al. link this drought to a long-term warming trend in the eastern Mediterranean which can only be explained by a rise in greenhouse emissions and human-induced climate change.

The same scientists also link this drought to heightened social vulnerability and the onset of the Syrian civil war. In the wake of the drought, agricultural collapse pushed rural people into cities in large numbers. Competition over resources and jobs, already scarce following decades of poor governance, took on an ethnic dimension. Kelley et al. quote a female farmer who states, “The drought and unemployment were important in pushing people toward revolution. When the drought happened, we could handle it for two years, and then we said, ‘It’s enough.'”

As complex social phenomena, civil wars cannot be disaggregated into single causes.

This claim has not gone unchallenged. In a rebuttal to this theory published in The Guardian, social scientists Jan Selby and Mike Hulme attribute Syria’s rural-urban migration to President Bashar al-Assad’s economic liberalization policies which scrapped agricultural fuel subsidies, plunging farmers into massive debt. Selby and Hulme also question the assertion that migrants were targeted as causing social stress. They fear that drawing causal links between climate change and conflict become “rhetorical moves to appeal to security interests or achieve sensational headlines,” ultimately doing disservice to both issues.


The role of agricultural policy deserves particular attention for the way it has exacerbated the Syrian civil war.  Brent Eng and José Ciro Martinez note that until 2007, Syria’s self-sufficiency in food production, specifically wheat, was a cause célèbre in the wider region.  But the next five years’ mismanagement of resources, reduced subsidies, and drought pushed a robust agricultural sector into decline, raising food prices and stirring popular discontent against President Bashar al-Assad’s government.  After the onset of war, food stocks and agricultural machinery were attacked by the regime to starve out rebel areas, thus turning temporary drought-induced food shortages into long-term shortfalls.

While the climate change explanation for Syria’s civil war is compelling, large-scale social conflict probably can’t be attributed to climate alone. As complex social phenomena, civil wars cannot be disaggregated into single causes.

source:
        https://daily.jstor.org/climate-change-and-syrias-civil-war/

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25733898/

Epub 2015 Mar 2.
Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought
Colin P Kelley  1 , Shahrzad Mohtadi  2 , Mark A Cane  3 , Richard Seager  3 , Yochanan Kushnir  3

Affiliations

    PMID: 25733898
    PMCID: PMC4371967
    DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1421533112


Abstract

Before the Syrian uprising that began in 2011, the greater Fertile Crescent experienced the most severe drought in the instrumental record. For Syria, a country marked by poor governance and unsustainable agricultural and environmental policies, the drought had a catalytic effect, contributing to political unrest. We show that the recent decrease in Syrian precipitation [rainfall] is a combination of natural variability and a long-term drying trend, and the unusual severity of the observed drought is here shown to be highly unlikely without this trend. Precipitation changes in Syria are linked to rising mean sea-level pressure in the Eastern Mediterranean, which also shows a long-term trend. There has been also a long-term warming trend in the Eastern Mediterranean, adding to the drawdown of soil moisture. No natural cause is apparent for these trends, whereas the observed drying and warming are consistent with model studies of the response to increases in greenhouse gases. Furthermore, model studies show an increasingly drier and hotter future mean climate for the Eastern Mediterranean. Analyses of observations and model simulations indicate that a drought of the severity and duration of the recent Syrian drought, which is implicated in the current conflict, has become more than twice as likely as a consequence of human interference in the climate system.

Keywords: Syria; climate change; conflict; drought; unrest.

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.


source:
        https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25733898/
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25733898/

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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Farm Lobby: Russia's Grain Exports Stop
December 24, 2014 08:46 AM

Russia's main wheat buyers are Turkey, Iran and, very vulnerable to supply disruption, Egypt.

source:
       https://www.voanews.com/europe/farm-lobby-russias-grain-exports-stop

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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In the summer of 2010, the global markets experienced a wheat crisis due to severe weather conditions in Russia. The world's third largest producers of wheat saw a severe drought and wildfires that destroyed one-fifth of its wheat production. The drought, which was said to be the worst in 130 years, led to a 30 percent decrease in the wheat Russia could export. The weather conditions also affected harvests in neighboring wheat producing countries such as; Ukraine and Kazakhstan.[1]

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations re-evaluated the 2010 global wheat production forecast at 651 million tons from 676 million tons but expected markets were better off than the 2008 crisis.[2] In 2008, the global markets experienced a similar crisis when wheat prices increased to $13 a bushel and spawned food riots. The Russian wheat crisis of 2008 taught many countries to keep higher inventories and experts believe the 2010 situation is much more stable because of larger stockpiles.[3]


source:
        http://www.marketswiki.com/wiki/Russian_Wheat_Crisis_of_2010

  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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The economic impact of farm drought in rural Australia
Drought is a recurring feature of rural life in Australia, but its increased frequency may require a policy rethink.

    Saul Eslake
    Non-executive Director and Writer

27 September 2018

Since systematic weather recording began in the late-19th century, Australia has experienced three prolonged, widespread droughts —
   the Federation Drought (1895–1903),
   the drought that coincided with WWII, and
   the Millennium Drought (2001–09).

In between these episodes, there have been shorter, more localised, but often more severe droughts — in the mid-1960s, 1982–83, and the early 1990s. More recently, much of eastern Australia has been experiencing protracted dry conditions and, over the winter months, unusually high temperatures.

     ••••   •••   ••••

source:
        http://aicd.companydirectors.com.au/membership/company-director-magazine/2018-back-editions/october/economist-the-big-dry

        https://www.anz.com/documents/economics/Impactofthedrought2006-07.pdf

        https://www.farmprogress.com/drought-australia-influencing-2007-wheat-production-price


  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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hard red winter (HRW) wheat

A problem is that much of the HRW area has insufficient moisture. Poor planting conditions lower the odds of average or better yields next June.

source:
        https://www.farmprogress.com/drought-australia-influencing-2007-wheat-production-price


  • Do not believe in every thing you read
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Franchino, Vicky
 Droughts / by Vicky Franchino
1. droughts - juvenile literature
2. drought forecasting - juvenile literature
3. mathematics - juvenile literature

copyright © 2012 by Cherry Lake Publishing

Droughts happen whenever an area gets less
precipitation(rain fall) than usual for a long enough time to cause
big problems.  Droughts can occur in both dry places and wet
places.  Droughts are serious because they cause crops and
animals to die and people to lose their jobs.  In poor country,
droughts usually result in a food shortage.

There are many different types of drought.
    ●  A meteorological drought means there is less precipitation(rain fall)
than usual.
    ●  A hydrological drought occurs when lakes and rivers have
lower-than-normal water levels.
    ●  Agricultureal droughts happen when there isn't enough water
to grow crops.

Sometimes areas are naturally very dry.  This means that
water always has to be brought to that area.  The city of
Las Vegas, Nevada, is an example.  Some parts of the world
have natural dry seasons.  There is enough rain at certain
times of the year and very little rain at others.  Costa Rica and
India are two countries with natural dry seasons.

There is even such a thing as an invisible drought.  This
means that high temperatures cause most rainwater to
evaporate, or go back into the air, before it can soak into
the ground.

India's dry season usually last from October to June.


Seattle, WA
Las Vegas, NV


If a high-[air] pressure system stays in an area for a long
time, it can cause a drought.

Two examples are the weather patterns called El Nino and
La Nina.  During El Nino, the water in the Pacific Ocean
near the equator is unusually warm.  This results in more
rainfall on the west coast of North and South America, and
less rainfall in Indonesia and Australia.  During La Nina, the
opposite happens.  The water in the Pacific [ocean] are
usually cold, and there is more rainfall in Indonesia and
Australia.


[p.11]
<see page 11 of the book>


Humans also make droughts worse through deforestation,
or cutting down trees.  Trees, like all growing plants,
help prevent soil from washing away.  They also add
moisture to the air through a process called
transpiration(plants release moisture into the air).

Sometimes an area can experience drought even when
it receives the same amount of rain it normally would.
This happens when an area's population increases, and
the need for water increases along with it.  As the world's
population grows, so does the risk of drought.

Scientists also study trees and soil to learn about
droughts that happened hundreds of year ago.  For example,
the rings on a tree's trunk are wider in years with sufficient
rainfall and thinner in years when there was a shortage of rain.
Soil layers often contain information that tells scientists about
the amount of water at different times in history.

Archaeologists have found evidence to show that Akkad,
present-day Syria and Iraq. was probably destroyed by drought
around 2200 BCE.  At about the same time, a long-lasting
drought likely wiped out the Egyptian Old Kingdom.  Scientists
have also found signs that ancient civilization in Central and
South America, such as Maya, ended because of drought.

China has suffered from many terrible droughts.  From
1876 to 1979 CE, a drought in eastern China is believed to
have killed as many as 13 million people.  China suffered
another drought in the 1920s that likely killed about half a
million people.

The Sahel region of northern Africa has experienced
extreme levels of drought in the last 30 years.

The worst drought to hit the United States occurred
between 1931 and 1938.  It affected almost every state in the
country.  Bad farming practices made the water shortage even
worse, especially in the Midwest.

In 2011, there were 7 billion people on Earth.  Experts
predict that by the year 2050, there will probably be more
than 9 billion.  Each one of these people will need water, so
it's important to find effective ways to manage Earth's water
supply.

Oceans cover about 70 per cent of Earth's surface.
So it might seem like there's plenty of water to meet
the world's growing needs.
Almost all of Earth's water, however, is saltwater,
which cannot be used for drinking or growing food.
Saltwater can be made usable through desalination.
In this process, salt is removed from water to make
it suitable for drinking or irrigation.

Most of the world's desalinated water is used in the
desert countries of the Middle East.

Some people find ways to reuse their "gray" water.
That is the water used for activities such as laundry
and doing the dishes [and bathe and shower]
[to water the plant and-or flush the toilet].

Farmers can save water by changing how they grow crops.
One method is conservation tillage, in which farmers leave
the plant materials from past harvests on the soil's surface.
This helps conserve the moisture in the soil and prevents soil
erosion.

According to the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric
Research, droughts are happening more frequently than
ever.  In the 30 year period between the 1970s and the
early 2000s, the amount of the world that was suffering
from serious droughts doubled.  Today, about 30 percent
of the world is affected by severe drought.

You can save as much as eight gallons a day turning
off the water while you brush your teeth.

Usable water can be hard to come by, even in cities.
 
--

NOTICE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C., section 107, some material is provided without permission from the copyright owner, only for purposes of criticism, comment, scholarship and research under the "fair use" provisions of federal copyright laws. These materials may not be distributed further, except for "fair use," without permission of the copyright owner. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml

  • Do not believe in every thing you read

  • Do not believe in every Gott  

  • Do not believe in every little pieces of detail you read, because any piece of  narrative and story can be picked a part by a skilled lawyer

  • the events you have read in (Drought 2.006) is based on real world incidents (I did not make them up.) (an agency could have hire some one to make them up and to put the content on the InterNet, in a website format, for the public to find.)

  • Each of the incidents and events could be true; however, together collectively the stories could paint a false impression of the real world situation in progress and, in regress; there is no way for me to really know what is happening in other places, about other people, about other things, in the past, in the future, and in the present; most of the time, I do not even know what is going on inside my head - the subconscious is mostly a black box; my knowledge is from the messages that are passed on to me (available in the public space, on the public InterNet, on public website, Index by search engine); the messages are not directed at, or for me; they are information - misinformation, disinformation, deceptive information, black information, white information, grey information, sources unidentify able information, verify able information, and verify able information with a chain [silver spider web] of custody [evidence]. [meta-data, tracking cookies]
 
  • this is an impression, an impressionistic painting.

  • In the end, a mammogram or a Pap smear is a portrait of cancer in its infancy. Like any portrait, it is drawn in the hopes that it might capture something essential about the subject - its psyche, its inner being, its future, its behavior. “All photographs are accurate,” the artist Richard Avedon liked to say, “[but] none of them is the truth.” (p.303, Siddhartha Mukherjee, The emperor of all maladies, 2010)

  • when there is a birth, that's a 1 (one); when there is a death, that's a 1 (one) turn into a 0 (zero); in the future, there will be deaths; this is a given; the Goal or the Mission is to do more of the right things, and do less of the wrong things; we will all make mistakes; we will make many mistakes; we will make the same mistakes over and over, again, in many different ways, in many different context and situations; that should not hinder us from taking action or taking no action; the keystone piece about the mistakes [and the right things]  is to recognize them, to acknowledge them, to be aware of them, to document them, to collection them all, to mine the shit [hell] out of them [the mistakes and the right things] for lesson [NOT] learned, and to integrate the lesson learned [& lessons not learned] into The Process for the next evolution - keep on repeating this feedback loop; [think of the cute little mistakes - if we manage to be aware of, catch and document them all - as a dress rehearsal, and test data for ...]; [how do you know if you are doing the right things or the wrong things?; You know the right things from the wrong things from a hybrid of exercise, experience, performance, reading, rehearsal and workshop (2EP-2RW); you gain experience from making mistakes, doing the right things, and getting the feedback; getting good feedback and getting good notes is difficult]; it is better to make mistakes doing the right things wrong, than to make no mistake, and do the wrong things perfectly - Russell Ackoff; if we get more of the right things than the wrong things, then there should be less deaths; not as much 1's (ones) turning to 0's (zeros); if we get more of the wrong things than the right things, then there willl be more deaths - keeping in mind that we, too, shall become a 0 (zero) one day; there is no where to escape to; there is no place to run away from; it is written, and I say these things [un]to you.   
 
  • 99.9% success is unlikely
    • William Forster Lloyd, Two Lectures on the Checks to Population, 1833
    • Garrett Hardin, "The Tragedy of the [unmanaged] Commons", December 1968     
       • Ian Angus, The Myth of the Tragedy of the Commons, Aug 25, 2008
       • https://mronline.org/2008/08/25/the-myth-of-the-tragedy-of-the-commons/
    • Jay W. Forrester, System Dynamics, June 27-29, 1994
    • Per Bak, How nature works, 1996
    • Charles Perrow, Normal accidents : living with high-risk technologies, 1999
    • Sidney Dekker, The field guide to human error investigations, 2002
    • Amanda Ripley, The unthinkable: who survives when disaster strikes and why, 2008
    • Len Fisher, Ph.D., Rock, Paper, Scissors : game theory in everyday life, 2008
    • Peter Senge, Bryan Smith, Nina Kruschwitz, Joe Laur, Sara Schley, The necessary revolution : how individual and organizations are working together to create a sustainable world, 2008
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Garrett Hardin, "The Tragedy of the [unmanaged] Commons", December 1968     
https://www.garretthardinsociety.org/articles/art_tragedy_of_the_commons.html

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    • William Stanley Jevons, The Coal Question, 1865 book
       • the efficiency with which a resource is used (reducing the amount necessary for any one use), but the rate of consumption of that resource rises due to increasing demand.
       • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox
       • https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2010/12/20/the-efficiency-dilemma
       • Jevons argued that improvements in fuel efficiency tend to increase (rather than decrease) [overall] fuel use.
       • The expansion of slavery in the United States following the invention of the cotton gin has also been cited as an example of the paradox.
       • https://archive.thinkprogress.org/debunking-the-jevons-paradox-nobody-goes-there-anymore-its-too-crowded-7fec531b1411/    
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California drought and Oregon water
Written January 31st, 2014 
by Hasso Hering


A pool in Newport Beach: What happens if California runs short on water?
California is having its driest winter season in a century and a half. We should not be surprised if sooner or later, somebody tries to revive the schemes of 30 or 40 years ago to tap the rivers of Oregon to help the nation’s biggest state survive.

The most recent notion, if memory serves, was proposed by a Los Angeles County supervisor in the 1970s.The idea was to construct a pipeline and pumping system to capture a small fraction of the Columbia River’s copious flow at its mouth, just before it churns across the bar, and pipe it south. The idea was scorned in Oregon and never got past the conceptual stage. But this may change if conditions get worse.

According to a report in the San Jose Mercury News on Jan. 30, some scientists think California may be in for a megadrought of the kind it has seen with some regularity over thousands of years. The scientists have studied tree rings and other clues in the natural record. They found many severely dry periods lasting 20 years or so. But they also found one that started in 850 and lasted 240 years, followed by another that lasted 180 years.

California now has 38 million people, nearly 10 times the population of Oregon. Sources quoted in the San Jose story speculated that the population of cities could probably cope by adopting severe conservation measures and paying much more for the water still available, but California agriculture would disappear because the price of irrigation would be more than the crops would bring.

One thing worth noting: Since we can’t blame long western droughts a thousand years ago on people burning fossil fuels, we should not blame current droughts on that either. What the studies show is that climate does indeed change, and we had better learn to cope. Sending Oregon water south would be a stretch, but if it’s technically feasible, it may indeed be attempted some day, and probably well before the California drought has lasted 100 years. (hh)

source:
        https://hh-today.com/california-drought-and-oregon-water/
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Columbia River Water Next Export to California
By Jerry Dawson

In: Measure 37
Saturday December 12, 2009


Speculation is high that Oregon has, for the first time, begun formal exploration into the feasibility of sending surplus water from the Columbia River south to thirsty California. The success of the recently announced giant wind farm has water export proponents salivating at the chance to tap just a small portion of the average 265,000 cubic feet of water per second that slips by Oregon, unused but for power generation, fish habitat and limited shipping.

Closed-door sessions have been held privately in recent months to discuss the very future of the Columbia River as we know it today. People have been asking for Oregon’s water for a long time. In 1990 Kenneth Hahn, an LA County Supervisor, formally requested water from Oregon via pipe to offset the severe water shortages they were experiencing. Then governor Neil Goldschmidt said no to the request, as did then Washington governor Booth Gardner.

Oh, how times have changed. With Oregon now leading the way in green power exports with the proposed Shepherds’ Flat Wind Farm, many around the state see the opportunity to export water as the next logical export. Raymond Branxton, a leading proponent of the plan to export water, said recently, “Why wouldn’t we do this? Our state is one of the worst in the entire nation in unemployment and in shortages of state revenue. This extra water, and there is extra, believe me, is like gold or oil. Billions of dollars are at stake. And every single hour we simply watch as over six billion gallons of water goes by, untapped, and empties into the vast Pacific Ocean. I say tap it and tap it now. I am talking with government officials on a regular basis.”

It is estimated that Oregon could supply California with approximately 8 billion gallons of water each day without any deleterious effect on either the environment or shipping. That amount of water could easily end, forever, the shortages that have plagued Southern California for decades. At the same time, jobs and revenue would flow into Oregon in numbers never seen before. It is estimated that at least 7,000 new temporary jobs would be created to construct the pipe and that 125 permanent jobs would be created in maintaining the pipe and pumps needed to supply the water. Revenue for this water, at current California rates, could easily top six million dollars per day or more. “That is over two billion dollars of revenue per year for Oregon for something that costs Oregon nothing,” noted Branxton.

“How anyone could oppose this in times like these is a mystery to me,” exclaimed Branxton at a recent secret meeting to discuss water export. “The pipe can go right next to the power lines and we can run the pumps with the wind power. It is simply amazing to me that we have not moved forward on this much sooner. Goldschmidt is long gone — maybe our next governor will have the foresight to put this much-needed plan into place,” Branxton predicted.

source:
        https://www.textise.net/showText.aspx?strURL=https://oregoncatalyst.com/2885-columbia-river-water-next-export-to-california.html
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https://www.gmo.com/americas/research-library/the-race-of-our-lives-revisited/
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Joseph Interprets the King’s Dreams

41 Two years later the king[a] of Egypt dreamed he was standing beside the Nile River. 2 Suddenly, seven fat, healthy cows came up from the river and started eating grass along the bank. 3 Then seven ugly, skinny cows came up out of the river and 4 ate the fat, healthy cows. When this happened, the king woke up.

5 The king went back to sleep and had another dream. This time seven full heads of grain were growing on a single stalk. 6 Later, seven other heads of grain appeared, but they were thin and scorched by the east wind. 7 The thin heads of grain swallowed the seven full heads. Again the king woke up, and it had only been a dream.

8 The next morning the king was upset. So he called in his magicians and wise men and told them what he had dreamed. None of them could tell him what the dreams meant.

9 The king’s personal servant said:

Now I remember what I was supposed to do. 10 When you were angry with me and your chief cook, you threw us both in jail in the house of the captain of the guard. 11 One night we both had dreams, and each dream had a different meaning. 12 A young Hebrew, who was a servant of the captain of the guard, was there with us at the time. When we told him our dreams, he explained what each of them meant, 13 and everything happened just as he said it would. I got my job back, and the cook was put to death.

14 The king sent for Joseph, who was quickly brought out of jail. He shaved, changed his clothes, and went to the king.

15 The king said to him, “I had a dream, yet no one can explain what it means. I am told that you can interpret dreams.”

16 “Your Majesty,” Joseph answered, “I can’t do it myself, but God can give a good meaning to your dreams.”

17 The king told Joseph:

I dreamed I was standing on the bank of the Nile River. 18 I saw seven fat, healthy cows come up out of the river, and they began feeding on the grass. 19 Next, seven skinny, bony cows came up out of the river. I have never seen such terrible looking cows anywhere in Egypt. 20 The skinny cows ate the fat ones. 21 But you couldn’t tell it, because these skinny cows were just as skinny as they were before. Right away, I woke up.

22 I also dreamed that I saw seven heads of grain growing on one stalk. The heads were full and ripe. 23 Then seven other heads of grain came up. They were thin and scorched by a wind from the desert. 24 These heads of grain swallowed the full ones. I told my dreams to the magicians, but none of them could tell me the meaning of the dreams.

25 Joseph replied:

Your Majesty, both of your dreams mean the same thing, and in them God has shown what he is going to do. 26 The seven good cows stand for seven years, and so do the seven good heads of grain. 27 The seven skinny, ugly cows that came up later also stand for seven years, as do the seven bad heads of grain that were scorched by the east wind. The dreams mean there will be seven years when there won’t be enough grain.

28 It is just as I said—God has shown what he intends to do. 29 For seven years Egypt will have more than enough grain, 30 but that will be followed by seven years when there won’t be enough. The good years of plenty will be forgotten, and everywhere in Egypt people will be starving. 31 The famine will be so bad that no one will remember that once there had been plenty. 32 God has given you two dreams to let you know that he has definitely decided to do this and that he will do it soon.

33 Your Majesty, you should find someone who is wise and will know what to do, so that you can put him in charge of all Egypt. 34 Then appoint some other officials to collect one-fifth of every crop harvested in Egypt during the seven years when there is plenty. 35 Give them the power to collect the grain during those good years and to store it in your cities. 36 It can be stored until it is needed during the seven years when there won’t be enough grain in Egypt. This will keep the country from being destroyed because of the lack of food.

source:
        https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Genesis+41&version=CEV
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2014

Population boom, a film by Werner Boote (director of Plastic planet)

  media: Digital Video Disc (DVD)
subject: population, demography, access to resource

there is no population problem; we do not have too many people; there is a congestion problem in cities and in ..., but that is not a population problem;
access to family planning

It is the system under which we lived that determine the kind of consumption and production. 

the global population campaign has worked so well because the myth of over population has been such a convenient excuse

the modern system of population statistics ...
to determine how many school, hospital, and jobs would be needed in the future

demographer

Sudan alone could feed a billion people.
There's so much arable land.

the way rich people are consuming, the way they exploit the resources, ...
first the rich people should learn to consume less, ...
you should say, family planning for cars, when you say, family planning for people they are promoting a lifestyle where having a car for each family member is good, I don't want to go under the World Bank umbrella

they are saying you have to reduce population, you have to follow modern agriculture, you have to use chemical, build infrastructure rather have good health care, you have to privatize, you have to liberalize, you have to import, rather than produce in your own country, and I think World Bank should changed its name from World Bank to Rich countries's bank, ...
 
responsible for pollution, exploitation of natural resources, land grabbing,
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Folding Beijing (sci-fi)

 p.238 Folding Beijing: Hao Jing fang tran. Ken Liu, Uncanny magazine,  https://uncannymagazine.com/article/folding-beijing-2/ p.145 Folding...